CIBC：加拿大央行9月加息75点至3.25%！结束加息周期

List

又有分析师认为，加拿大央行将提前结束加息。

据Globe and Mail的理财分析师Scott Barlow报道，加拿大帝国商业银行（CIBC）信贷策略师Ian Pollick认为，加拿大央行即将暂停加息进程。

他是这么说的：

“我们预测加拿大央行将在9月份的下一次议息会议上结束加息周期，同时将隔夜利率提高75个基点至3.25%，我们猜测央行的措辞即将转变。如果我们的判断是正确的，那么考虑到市场仍预计美联储将在第四季度加息约50个基点，那么‘靴子’将在10月份落地。我们预计，9月份的声明将倾向于依赖数据，而不是像7月份的声明那样直接暗示利率将“进一步上升……”

CIBC的Pollick说：“鉴于我们预测加拿大央行将在9月份的下次会议上结束加息周期，隔夜利率将提高75个基点至3.25%。”

CIBC并不是第一家预测央行即将结束加息的机构。

此前，多伦多独立经济研究机构Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc.的创始人David Rosenberg在接受金融邮报采访时称，加息结束的时间比市场认为的要早，明年加拿大将陷入通货紧缩。

shagmate

Not surprising, it will keep rising for the foreseeable future.  They look at the US Feds, we will mostly follow them.

^$$$^

肯定9 月之后还会再加
Boc = following fed

rkim

Never ever trust bank analysts.

Their views are published only because their bosses allow that to paddle whatever their firms need.

^$$$^

rkim 发表于 2022-8-28 13:15
Never ever trust bank analysts.

Their views are published only because their bosses allow that to p ...

I agree no way BOC stops the hike after sept
More hikes to come 💯

shagmate

Hike incoming, feds chief Powell confirmed.  BOC is gonna follow, won't be surprised before september

^$$$^

I am betting boc for sept will be 75bps

shagmate

^$$$^ 发表于 2022-8-29 16:09
I am betting boc for sept will be 75bps

Can see it going up to 100bps.
People are gonna get hurt, those who spent over their means.

ballin123

More rate hikes, housing prices will keep going lower

波匀见日

感觉还是要看美国的动作的，如果9月后美国通胀还是上扬，或者持平，那大概率两个国家还是会再加一次。