TAIWAN'S POLITICAL SCENE

tomsiu

To look at political scene it's better from OUTSIDE angles, not inside. The wider angles the more you can see.

蔣 was failed in mainland China (1949) & was nurturing by USA ever since. That means all their "internal" political measures would have been "monitoring/pleasing" by USA. These Countries include South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Singapore and Malaysia.

USA built a fence to block the communist(s) expanding from USSR, China, North Korea and Vietnam.

With recent changes in mainland China (from Communist to Socialism) that we (as Chinese) should consider which lives is better. [Capitalism or Socialism?). Or we Chinese continues to live under USA's boundary?

dragondick

USA's influence on Taiwan is negligible these days.  There is no longer any economic aid, there is also no free military aid (everything, granted obsolete models, must be paid for).

While accepting the fact that China's unification is inevitable (just a matter time), USA's main concern is to keep Taiwan away from China right now, because it will punch a hole in US's line of containment of China.

China has threatened many times that an independent Taiwan is not acceptable, & will use force if Taiwan declares independence.  This is quite understandable, if China accepts an independent Taiwan, then must accept other provinces with this inclination/aspiration.

If China is unified, Diaoyu Islands (created by USA, and in a small part by Japan) are not even an issue;  mind you, these islands are only 20' by air from Taiwan.  No matter how much Japan wants to grab Diaoyu Islands, due to the proximity of  Diaoyu to Taiwan, there is simply no way that Japan can hold on to these claims.

Time is on the side of China - a country with 5000 years history.  China can wait.  As China gets stronger, both economically & militarily, to the stage that it equals or surpasses USA, do you really think that USA will risk everything for Diaoyu or Taiwan.

This is the way of examining political situation from the OUTSIDE.

I think Y.W. Tsai has a "better than good" chance of becoming the next president of Taiwan in 2016.  If Tsai's party, the DPP, does not back off from independence issue, her presidency (not yet attained) will not last more than one term.

tomsiu

dragondick 发表于 2015-2-3 05:16
USA's influence on Taiwan is negligible these days.  There is no longer any economic aid, there is a ...

Right .... Taiwan has only 20M population. It considers "small" nation in the world. And majority of them were 中華民族.

USA retreats its AID to this land and people gradually. Now, this is the choice of TAIWANESE where to go?

(Mainland) China growing stronger (per you just said) that she is not the same compared to 1945. Our MIND should be updated same as the globe which moving (forward) every day. Today is 2015.

dragondick

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQd7EF9kJgw


The above is a panel discussion re the "changing scenery".

Ericff

台湾怎样处理与美国的关系又成为一个重要的因素对于两岸关系而言
还没有达成九二共识

美国因素每次都会出现在两岸关系的协调中，以前是卖军用设备给台湾，现在又出现了。

dragondick

老美是為恐天下不亂的 "歷史文盲"，總是希望從混亂中坐收漁人之利。

最好世界經濟第二 (中國)，三 (日本) 兩國在老美導演下衝突，兩敗俱傷，除了可以賣軍火撈一筆外，說不定連國債也可以賴帳。

只要台灣不搞獨立，中國沒有動武的必要。

統一只是時間問題，民族大任。 管他是幾十或幾百年，在中國歷史上只是一個小備註，可以慢慢處理，不必理會美國四年一度的總統 PRESIDENTIAL LEGACY ("總統賴緊屎" 粵語發音 )。

dragondick

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oAMza1N_eEA


If both KMT & DPP have female candidates for the upcoming presidential election, Taiwan will have the first female president in Chinese history.

tomsiu

洪秀柱说：台湾病了！

洪秀柱说：“我们的国家真的病了。如果社会不在意真诚，我们哪有信任？如果社会不在意是非，我们哪有道德？如果社会不在意理性，我们哪有方向？如果社会不在意因果，我们哪里有明天？”

洪秀柱说，台湾的“病因不在政策，而在政治，更在我们这些从事政治的人”。她说，看到高中生冲进教育部，她的心情无比沉重，领悟到“我们真的做错了。过去20多年为了争夺政治权力我们做了最坏的示范”。她说，为此我们应该彻底反省，真诚道歉。

上个星期三晚上，洪秀柱突然在脸书上发文说，暂停所有竞选行程，静心反省与沉思。她说，“我决定暂停每天陀螺般的行程，进行深刻的反省与沉思；唯有如此，我才能无畏前进，承担大任，无负国人的托付与期待。”

经过三天的反省后，洪秀柱批评很多政治人物根本不知道真诚为何物，否定真诚的必要，国家政治被民粹盘据，只问立场，不问是非，理性的声音越来越微弱。她说，这次选举是国家领导人人格上“真诚与伪善”的抉择；是国家决策上“理性与民粹”的抉择；是国家方向上“和平与逃避”的抉择。她对自己在选举中做出的期许是：“可以带动台湾社会风气的改变，让善良的价值重新成为最高标准；可以改变我所属的政党，让人民对它重拾信任；可以给国家一条正确的道路，让我们再次奋起。”

洪秀柱说，为两岸创造和平稳定的架构，是台湾得以解除困境的起点。她主张不仅要巩固九二共识，还希望能够延续，深化，进行两岸政治协商，在恪守宪法、平等尊严、民意为本的原则下，签订两岸和平协定，共同确定“分治不分裂”的两岸定位原则。

洪秀柱在闭关深刻自我反省后承认，她在知识上有待充实，在经验上仍有不足，在职位上也并非一方之霸，因此要向有能力的人学习，向值得尊敬的人看齐，只有如此，才能有资格承担如此重任。她说：“我的参选，在众人眼中，或许是个偶然，但何尝不是否极泰来，正面力量一定会涌现的必然？”

tomsiu

只问立场，不问是非  ~~~~ This is political manner by stubborn folks. [Well said by 洪秀柱 herself].
洪秀柱 ~~ I support you. But your statement may not be worked in politics. But "All"文捷 set a success sample.

毛泽东 caused 40M Chinese killed/died. He deserves die 一万次 (disregard he's 共产党)
习近平 hunts thousands of 贪官s. He be praised 一万次 (disregard he's 共产党).

tomsiu

American are not STUBBORN folks. As well as in politics.

American sets embargo to Red China in 1949. Then set free by R Nixon when he noticed China is changing (no more RED).
American allows Russia to join G8. Then forced her departed after Putin chooses different path.
American imposes sanctions to Cuba in 1962. It was released recently due to Cuba behave differently.

American adepts it's politic to present moment. Where Chinese still stuck in day one (due to lack of knowledge. Stubborn and very naive)..... Here I mean politic.

Us, Chinese in HK and Taiwan, are way far from political civilization compared to Americans.