AZN747

 找回密码
 立即注册
搜索
12
返回列表 发新帖
楼主: mmpleaser

Fed fund rate rise guesses

[复制链接]
 楼主| 发表于 2015-8-27 14:41:12 | 显示全部楼层
tomsiu 发表于 2015-8-27 14:26
Apparently in China 李克強, is the ultimate decision maker for Central bank function. Not say 李克 ...

agreed mostly. but us fed is NOT predictable.  congress triiedf to request from Yellen that it should be RULE based, she refused
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2015-8-27 16:07:29 | 显示全部楼层
Apparently the rebound was triggered by the comments from Fed governor on possible delay of fed fund rate increase, thus also contributed the unfavorable exchange v sub v Canada.  Bad for me, good for you.
So mostly like sept rate hike is unlikely to happen.  No matter what, the hike will be Very gradual.
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2015-11-18 18:30:47 | 显示全部楼层
Guess what. Fed mostly likely will raise rate Dec, 15.  Market rallies, strange??
Interest rate increase will normally cause market to retreat.
I guess people are reacting to the fact that it is about time and get it over with.
Most likely there is nothing happening after the increase for a few months.  If Canada does not raise rate, then exchange rate will be tilted in favor of USD.
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2015-11-22 12:17:37 | 显示全部楼层
mmpleaser 发表于 2015-11-18 18:30
Guess what. Fed mostly likely will raise rate Dec, 15.  Market rallies, strange??
Interest rate incr ...

Interest rate go up, bank make more money. In addition, exchange rate go lower which is better for us
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2015-11-22 12:20:47 | 显示全部楼层
mmpleaser 发表于 2015-8-27 16:07
Apparently the rebound was triggered by the comments from Fed governor on possible delay of fed fund ...

Probably 0.15 to 0.25%. They need to raise the interest rate or it will hurt the export business
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2015-11-22 15:04:23 | 显示全部楼层
longlong7 发表于 2015-11-22 12:17
Interest rate go up, bank make more money. In addition, exchange rate go lower which is better for ...

Are we on the same side, USD side?
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2015-11-22 15:05:31 | 显示全部楼层
Consensus is .25 and no raise until March 16.  Just to show that it can do something after 9 years.
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2015-11-22 19:56:51 | 显示全部楼层
mmpleaser 发表于 2015-11-22 15:04
Are we on the same side, USD side?

Our cad depreciate for like a year while USD is on the rise. So if we buy anything from US it is more expensive for us. But with lower Cad, people from the states will come here for travel and spend more. So there is pros and cons I guess
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2015-11-23 05:21:19 | 显示全部楼层
longlong7 发表于 2015-11-22 19:56
Our cad depreciate for like a year while USD is on the rise. So if we buy anything from US it is m ...

expect US to CAD midmarket rate to be 1.35, now 1.335.
回复

使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 立即注册

本版积分规则

AZN747

GMT-5, 2024-3-28 04:31 , Processed in 0.036127 second(s), 11 queries .

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

Copyright © 2001-2021, Tencent Cloud.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表